Turkey and minister of foreign affairs of Armenia two countries are in 10 days late world of Swiss Su Li signs an agreement, both sides ends long-term and hostile state and realize bilateral relationship normalization.
Before here the agreement is signed, two countries already opened border.
Earth, inferior remove hundred years hostile condition, it is to be based on respective realistic policy consideration, reflected Russia, beauty to be in at the same time south the compromise of Caucasian fringe politics Bo Yizhong and argue.
Turkey wins municipal diplomacy activefurniture light
With respect to Turkey character, the 2nd attempt of Caucasian area austral development improves the relation that is the same as Armenia, it is Turkey seek is in south a link of position of Caucasian area dominant.
Russia 1991 after disintegrate, turkey ever wanted to resealable bags for clothes be entered quickly in inferior and south Caucasian, but did not win a success. Continuous before this during card of several years presses Bach battle, a few times clique arms arrives Turkey the result that the pressure policy of Armenia border also did not bring a how place to expect. Accordingly, 1993, turkey blocked the border with Armenia.
The 2nd times seek enters Turkey south the effort of Caucasian area, closely related the course that joins an Europea the best selling hans wilhelm n Union with its.
Turkey already wandered in European Union doorway half century. Except apparently reason, the European Union raised a series of requirements that look very slashing in earth to Turkey, if Cyprus nation conflicts problem, admit Caesarean period is opposite Aosiman the massacre problem of the Armenian, and open wait with Armenia border problem.
Before 2008, turkey did not abandon all the time improvement and inferior the 3 premise condition of the relation, namely Armenia should abandon admitting a requirement to the international of the massacre, admit Turkey is attrib border, from Nakade the area is removed army, put in the territory that borders with pay check 's charge to still give Azerbaijan.
Earth, inferior the position that each other sets premise requirement did not bring any significant gain to both sides, till September 6, 2008 " football diplomacy " just form a breakthrough. At that time, armenia president Saerji invites Armenia of Turkey president Ju Erlai to watch football game. This one " not common act " later, all the time the hearsay says two congress sign the protocol that build foreign relations and opens border very quickly.
Meanwhile, the diplomatic strategy with agile and withy Turkey also obtains apparent effect, froze not only " massacre " international admits a process, and force American president Aobama to be in Armenia whole nation mourned day the most popular hans wilhelm on April 24 this year did not use in the speech " massacre " word. According to the convention, whenever this fete, american president wants to communicate with Armenia Yi Zuqun, and talk and this event that in Aosiman Caesarean period produces. Aobama also was used for many times during holding the post of senator " massacre " word, also express to this one position won't be changed after be elected as a president during its enter into an election contest. But Aobama did not allude first in the speech this year " massacre " one word, communicate give a very delicate signal, namely earth - inferior relation improvement is in nearly very close.
"Turkey already became an area super force "modern dining chairs
Additional, turkey takes an active part in area the sources of energy project and advance " south Caucasian stability and cooperative conception " hard, be the same as the relation of Russia, beautiful, Europe closely also.
When Russia minister of foreign affairs pulls husband collect husband to amounted to Wuteaoluhui to talk with earthy minister of foreign affairs in July this year, say, turkey and Russia are in south Caucasian area is producing the most positive effect. The United S resealable bags tates is responsible south of Caucasian region general affairs before the plum repairs assistant Secretary of State · cloth Lai Za also thinks, "Turkey already became an area super force " .
But also the analysis points out, be in from its south Caucasian interest angle looks, turkey won't stop a few practices that solve accept quickly to block conflict according to American version publicly. To counteract its external the negative factor of the best selling resealable bags political figure, a few practices that go up in problem of library Er heart for instance, turkey also hopes earth inferior concern progress can hold backwater position for a long time.
Armenia: Political pragmatism breaks through economic block
After the Swiss tripartite statement April 23 is announced, armenia home should open the attrib border, problem that builds foreign relations with earth to launch intense debate around otherwise.
Armenia opposition criticizes a government, say inferior, the flinch that earthy concern normalization and Armenia abandon international approbatory asks and blocking a problem to go up in accept on massacre problem is direct and relevant. In the United States, Armenia of France and Lebanon Yi Zuqun also protests sign concession to cross big protocol. But fine points out Si Kanda of controller of Caucasian media institute, politician Yi, the domestic protest that causes from this still can't browbeat Armenia shows political power. According to the political force contrast before suborder, inferior parliamentary approval protocol is not what tickler.
Although suffer domestic opposition and sea people not of the same clan group complain with boycott, armenia leader still plans to achieve positive result through serious effort.
All member approves meeting of Armenia state security consistently inferior, land reform be apt to concerns, basically be the consideration that is based on the position that casts off Armenia to be blocked for a long time and crisis of current and deep economy.
All directions that Armenia is located in Gelujiya, Turkey, Azerbaijan and Iran " in surrounding " , do not have terrestrial border on with Russia, the trading business volume of 3 should pass 2 ／ Gelujiya. Last year August after the war, the aggravation that Russia, case concerns makes Ar most popular selling dearfoam slipper menia produced serious crisis move. Inferior, exchange visits of head of case two countries again and again, desire Russia - the adverse effect that case conflict brings to Armenia falls lowest.
Meanwhile, suffer effect of global banking crisis, armenia economy glides quickly, the gross domestic product first half of the year is added this year fast dropped 18% . Be stationed in Ailiwen according to world bank agency chief Alisituo Nie Waludajisi says the plum, open earth - inferior border general brings positive effect to the economy of Armenia, will reflect above all in commerce domain. If open border, criterion traffic cost can be reduced 10% to 20% , raise Armenia to be exported to Osmanli significantly, increase Armenia commodity to be in the advantage of European Union market. A research that the European Union funds makes clear, be in short-term inside, the export of Armenia will increase 5% , growth of the export inside metaphase can be amounted to 17.7% . In the meantime, the relevant index of the entrance is respectively 4.75% with 13% .
The opposition that is alleviation home sound dearfoam slippers for women , armenia premier Jigelan Saerji points out when accepting parliamentary opposition ask for an explanation, no matter Armenia is in jural still accepting the border that exists in Russia period in fact, armenia republic acceded as the successor of republic of Armenia Soviet socialism these border. Today, stem from political pragmatism, it is not actual that suspicion is the same as Osmanli border.
plantronic wireless headsetAlthough such controversy still can continue, but the actual condition that authorities chose to be become already. This al the most popular dearfoam slipper so is Armenia chooses to be advanced stoutly establish diplomatic relations with Turkey the foundation of the process.
Armenia defense minister Aokaniyang also expresses on conference of department of defense, the department of defense will take action will because of,be counteracted inferior - the negative factor that process of earthy concern normalization brings.
Russian-American be in south the result of Caucasian mutual compromise
Russia, beauty is responsible external the head of policy attends signing ceremony of 10 days at the same time, indicated the harmonious position between the two big countries of Caucasian politics course austral the decision. And the settlement of pay check problem and earth, inferior closely related open border.
Analyst points out, earth, inferior relation normalization and solve accept actively to block a problem, it is American president Aobama consistent result just is reached with Russia when the visit is Muscovite in July. Aobama accepted those who solve accept to block a problem " Russia plan " , that is to say, remand 5 areas give pay check periphery Azerbaijan, the area that pull admire and Jialibazaer of the area remand remit to pay card status determines that momently.
Niesijielianke of spokesman of Russia Ministry of Foreign Affairs thinks, earth - inferior the subscription of the agreement, it is to those who stride is in on right way " the first pace also is very important one step " , "Deciding to lead to inferior, earthy international impact is overall each behavior on normalization road " .
Look in Russia, earth, inferior good relations of neighbourhood concerns build, going up objectively can facilitate south the alleviation of condition of Caucasian area insecurity, consolidate area peace and safety. Actually, be in Russia - after case conflicts, russia needs area peace more pressingly.
But also the analysis points out, this is Muscovite yielding the plan of Washington. Below Russia dominant, the Madrid conference 2007 decided intercessory accept blocks the basic principle of the problem, leave profit of whole world of beautiful, Russia as financial crisis setting of negotiation process start, the United States begins to try to launch a challenge to Russia. The United States thinks south Caucasian area is his first profit area, be in especially case - after Russia conflicts, the United States got not by " freeze conflict " the Gelujiya of problem be a burden on, be in south Caucasian stand firm calcaneal. The safety that is the oil gas item that resolves this one area further and corridor of the sources of energy guarantees an issue, washington need is solved with the rapiddest rate south Caucasian conflict problem. The plum repairs Secretary of State of the assistant before Ren Mingsi overcomes the United States of group beauty square chairman when · cloth Lai Za thinks, country of chairman of Ming Sike panel is an unified ordinary members of theatrical troupe, russia cannot solve accept to block a problem. "Any chairman national capital cannot complete this one work alone. Azerbaijan - Armenia concerns (core is pay check problem) with earth - inferior the relation is two different processes. American idea is to be started at the same time, but advance with different speed. Advance with rapidder rate in a process, meet in another process slowdown. " " earth - inferior relation normalization can be improved... the environment of pay check process " .
Actually, no matter be the parallel course that the United States just offers, still pull husband collect husband to put forward " dearfoam slippers pay check problem and earth - inferior relation improvement is parallel problem " view, all reflected big country to eliminate conflict means to solve the apiration of area problem. Accordingly, can say, earth, inferior the first pace that walks out of improvement to concern, already the understandable approve of that it is Russia American plan, also be American approve of Russian plan.
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